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Pacific Northwest Quarterbacks Face Challenges To Move On

Pacific Northwest Quarterbacks Face Challenges To Move On

What does it take anymore to make it as a Quarterback from High School into College?  Today we are going to ask that question.  And the reason, at least in the Pacific Northwest, is that we are putting out so many great High School Quarterbacks that many of us “Insiders” are asking an obvious question.

Where are all these talented kids supposed to go?

At one time a couple of years back there were more QB’s from the Pacific Northwest playing in the NFL then any other Region.  Behind that stat is the proliferation of the Pacific Northwest Quarterback.

Behind that is the proliferation of QB Camps and clinics and it is not like that everywhere in the country.  We really see it here especially when you look at how few schools there are in the Western United States let alone those who are looking for QB’s.  There are a lot of great High School Qb’s Here.

Take last year for example.  We had a battle for the top QB spots and it was a year of super talented kids.  But in the end only Justin Lane (Lakewood HS: Illinois State), Trey Wheeler (Liberty; Simon Frazier); and Brett Smith (West Salem, Wyoming) went on to scholarship at collegiate programs by signing day.

Looking at this year the landscape looks about the same.  Any of these kids we are tracking with our partners at StateWideStats.com could go on to play collegiate ball with some of the numbers they are puttin up.  But despite all the camps and combines, and the fact that they and their families have attended any and all camps and QB Gurus workouts, only a couple have offers.

The Seniors are highlighted in red below.  Only Jeff Lindquist has offers (U of W; Commit) and he earned that last season as a Junior.  Jeff has the amazing size and speed to go with his gifts that allowed him to stand out.

Max Browne is the Junior stand-out at Skyline HS we highlighted below in yellow.  Max has several offers but again has a size at 6’5″ and a efficiency and accuracy few can claim.  Best known for his decision making in the pocket and laser guided fast release he is Nationally at the top of the rankings.

Have a look at these terrific QB’s and understand that the list goes on and on.  But what I am suggesting is that we are as a Region too talented at this position and it is too crowded and very hard to stand out.  Nationally we are producing so many technically sound kids at the QB position it is getting harder and harder to see that these young men will have a road that leads to college as a schorlaship athlete.

 

Passing Leaders: Washington 2011 Season (some top athletes missing due to no stats)

Rank Player Team Games Att. Compl.(%) Yds Avg TDs INTs Yds/G QBR
1 Chris Brown (G) + Bonney Lake (3A) 9 417 228 (54.7%) 2912 12.77 33 11 323.6 92.131
2 Deion Wright (G) + Davis (4A) 9 258 161 (62.4%) 2816 17.49 32 6 312.9 131.218
3 Max Browne (S) + Skyline (4A) 8 263 190 (72.2%) 2461 12.95 26 5 307.6 126.307
4 Kolney Cassel (G) + Eisenhower (4A) 8 240 141 (58.8%) 2451 17.38 25 4 306.4 121.372
5 Blake McPherson (G) + Arlington (4A) 8 173 146 (84.4%) 2140 14.66 26 5 267.5 162.006
6 Jake Nelson (S) + Lake Stevens (4A) 9 214 150 (70.1%) 2086 13.91 21 4 231.8 126.032
7 Trevon Myhre (G) + Nooksack Valley (1A) 9 215 115 (53.5%) 1939 16.86 22 7 215.4 104.777
8 Domenic Rockey (G) + Auburn Mountainview (3A) 9 285 158 (55.4%) 1932 12.23 14 10 214.7 78.282
9 Billy Green (S) + King’s (1A) 6 206 151 (73.3%) 1858 12.30 32 5 309.7 142.415
10 Max McGuinn (G) + Meridian (1A) 9 209 121 (57.9%) 1793 14.82 16 10 199.2 91.657
11 Matt Mendenhall (S) + Southridge (3A) 8 216 122 (56.5%) 1752 14.36 15 7 219.0 92.593
12 Colin Seitz (G) + Prairie (3A) 6 161 106 (65.8%) 1740 16.42 25 4 290.0 143.388
13 Bennett Gibson (S) + Mount Vernon (3A) 8 196 122 (62.2%) 1739 14.25 9 6 217.4 93.474
14 Josh Kraght (G) + Lynden (2A) 9 133 98 (73.7%) 1695 17.30 23 2 188.3 167.967
Jeff Lindquist Mercer Island 9 210 116 ( .552) 1636 8.18 19 6 181.9 97
15 Rhys Gervais (S) + Puyallup (4A) 7 185 101 (54.6%) 1601 15.85 17 10 228.7 91.745
16 Frank Catelli (S) + Sequim (2A) 10 188 118 (62.8%) 1567 13.28 13 4 156.7 103.302
17 Jason Hutchison (S) + Kamiakin (3A) 8 152 87 (57.2%) 1550 17.82 16 2 193.8 121.875
18 Matt Stuart (S) + Lindbergh (2A) 8 216 108 (50.0%) 1537 14.23 17 12 192.1 76.485
19 Justin Hordyk (S) + Bethel (4A) 7 163 94 (57.7%) 1515 16.12 12 4 216.4 103.183

 

Passing Leaders: Oregon 2011 (Some to athletes missing do to no stats)

Rank Player Team Games Att. Compl.(%) Yds Avg TDs INTs Yds/G QBR
1 Will Totten (S) + McKenzie (1A) (8 man) 8 197 132 (67.0%) 2675 20.27 41 5 334.4 173.297
2 Chad Olson (S) + Thurston (6A) 9 291 184 (63.2%) 2585 14.05 21 12 287.2 98.661
3 Dillon Miller (S) + Sheldon (6A) 9 254 174 (68.5%) 2415 13.88 27 3 268.3 129.298
4 Cody Stutzer (S) + Scappoose (4A) 9 267 179 (67.2%) 2126 7.96 25 11 236.2 95.823
5 Wyatt Houston (S) + Horizon Christian (Tualatin) (3A) 8 265 154 (58.1%) 2054 13.34 18 6 256.8 96.014
6 Tommy Knecht (S) + Lakeridge (6A) 8 204 138 (67.6%) 2009 14.56 20 8 251.1 115.829
7 Mitch Reese (S) + Churchill (5A) 0 197 132 (67.0%) 1968 14.91 21 4 126.618
8 Jack Singler (S) + South Medford (6A) 9 185 125 (67.6%) 1909 15.27 28 2 212.1 147.331
9 Tristan Burke (S) + North Valley (4A) 9 267 140 (52.4%) 1850 13.21 22 4 205.6 95.872
10 Kamerun Smith (S) + Marist (4A) 9 167 101 (60.5%) 1817 17.99 29 6 201.9 140.731
11 Paris Penn Grant High (6a) 8 143 84 (.587) 1459 10.2 13 5 180 109

Looking above we see that Washington is loaded with Juniors who are producing at amazing numbers and rates.  Max Browne is clearly leading the Class of 2013 but Kolney Cassel, Billy Green, and Josh Kraght all have the same level of production and an equally good or higher QB rating.

That rating is an efficiency number that tells the entire story about the QB in terms of how well he is moving the ball and completion % and his turnovers vs scores.

And with Seniors like Deion Wright, Justin Hordyk (who’s stats are much higher then this now through 9 games), Colin Seitz,  Blake McPherson, and Jake Nelson just tearing it up it does beg the question.

Where will or can they go to play College ball?

Oregon has a terrific Senior Class and some super strong Juniors but only Paris Penn in the 11th position has broken through with an offer and commitment to Portland State.  That offer is based on the fact he is a terrific running QB with solid skills but physical gifts that transcend the others.  In that way he he is much like Mercer Island QB Jeff Lindquist.

But that does not mean these other kids are not collegiate level players because they are.

Is there room for them all?  The answer appears to be an emphatic “No” at least in regards to playing out West.

 


So know what…..


 

The solutions lie in the supply and demand interplay.  Too much supply here? Then go elsewhere.

PAY ATTENTION TO THIS CAUSE THIS TOOK A LOT OF TIME

These are the following schools by Region and Division who offer football:

REGION Div 1 Div 2 Div 3 JC NAIA *Avg Per State Overall Avg D-1 / D-2 per State**
West (11 States) 35 10 16 77 11 6.5  4.09
Southwest (5 States) 29 23 9 11 6 13.4  10.4
Midwest (13 States) 44 46 101 24 57 19  7.0
South (9 States) 78 32 16 17 13 15.5  12.2
Mid-Atlantic (5 States) 33 27 46 3 3 21.3  12.0
North-East (7 States) 26 10 49 6 0 12.14  5.14

* Excludes JC   ** D1- D2 primarily offer scholarships.  This number was used to show where the most full or partial scholarships are at.

It sure does help to look at the lists here.

We are as a Region out West the hardest region to plan on finding a place to play. 

But they don’t tell you that as a Parent or as a player do they?  No.

That does not even include the fact that most of our D-1 and D-2 Schools out here are tough in terms of overall national ratings.  The Ducks, Beavers, and Huskies have all been top rated teams in the recent past and can attract kids from all over including the SW and back East.

Same goes for Boise State and Utah and schools in California.  The same applies to the D-2 schools out here.  They have a lot of kids trying to get in from all over the Country!

It is pretty obvious that at only 4.09  D-1 / D-2  Schools per State the West is the toughest region to find a home.  

Being a QB only makes it tougher.   Because schools will take one or maybe 2 QB’s a year.  But they can not afford to have 8 QB’s in the stable so 1 a year is more likely.

What this means for QB’s in the Western  Region that there is only 4 opportunities in each state to gain a scholarship at the D-1/D-2  level in any given year.  When you factor in that typically they are going to have to compete with kids from all over the country the odds become very slim indeed and you get a result like last year where no one gained a major offer at the QB position from an Oregon or Washington school.

If you look at the big picture kids and parents need to understand they are against long odds out West here.  The schools just are not here and neither are the scholarships.  What the table above shows clearly is that there needs to be a very concerted effort on behalf of a recruit to get his story out to the Midwest, the Mid-Atlantic States, and anywhere that is not our West.

Now again I will say it.  Do not pay for recruiting services when you can do this yourselves.  Get film, get your transcripts (and keep those grades up), and get to work sending out a nice cover letter, a recruiting profile sheet, and get letters and contacts moving.

See our link here as to what we have seen work and some things you can do to get started now.

One thing is clear.  Our young gunslingers are really really good and we feel the Pacific Northwest is a Hotbed for QB’s Nationally.

The only other thing that players need to look at in closing is to try and diversify as an athlete.  Deion Wright at AC Davis who is leading the Region in total offense in one prime example.  He can easily play two or three other positions.  Same goes for Lynden QB Josh Kraght who is a a gifted Wide Receiver among other things.

In closing realize we are here to help cover the Regions best athletes.  That means we write stories like this and we do feature articles and watch film too.  We produce prospect watch lists and send them to coaches and recruiters nationwide for no cost to the kids.  Hell they di not even know we do it.

But at the end of the day this comes down to numbers.  All of you boys on these charts and the many more that are out there prucing close to these numbers need to know you deserve a shot.

We think you can get it too.  But realize going into the playoffs, and you Seniors into the next few months,  you are up against some things that none of us can control.

Now that you know go get after it.  Best wishes too!

 

 

I am the Founder of the Northwest Prep Report. For 17 years I have led the way to the best of my ability to promote the best talent from the Pacific NW free of charge. It is my pleasure to continue to serve High School athletes from all over the Pacific NW and beyond. Formerly with Rivals.com my sites have now crossed over 8,000 stories, 7 MILLION Video Views, and 15,000 regular followers. Together with the best football people in the USA we pursue excellence for our NW athletes.

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